Real Estate Climate: Bulls make money, Bears make money, but Hogs Get Slaughtered

 

A tip of the hat to T. Stone for the title of thepost, he ended a post he wrote earlier this week about whether or not now is a good time to list your home in the bay area with it. The San Francisco/Silicon Valley market has had a massive supply of buyers over the past several months, but the listings haven’t been there, which means that there have been numerous homes going over asking, sometimes for substantially over asking.

For example, this past week at the sales meeting, 20 out of the 25 sales announced were in contract for over the asking price. Of those 20 sales that were over asking, two agents mentioned that the homes their client bid on had more than 15 offers, and two of the sales were also for $250,000 over the asking price!

So the question remains  – when will the supply arrive? And as the title of this article suggests, I think that it will arrive, and that once it does we will see a swing towards a much more “stable” market. Which isn’t to say that we will be in a balanced market, I still expect it to be a seller’s market (which is pretty much the norm in San Francisco/Silicon Valley, given that demand almost always exceeds supply).

That said, I think that within a few months we will see enough supply arrive to significantly ease some of the frustrations that buyers are currently experiencing. The sellers that are on the market right now are cleaning up, for lack of a better technical term. But I don’t think that will remain true for the rest of the year.

This is the San Francisco real estate Bay Area we are talking about though, so sellers that arrive late to the market won’t necessarily be slaughtered, but they also shouldn’t expect to do as well as some of the current sellers are. What are your thoughts?

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